"Trump's victory was predictable"
When I created Coeō, the Geosocial Network which powers the Prepare For Change website, four years ago, I wanted to bring together people from all walks of life to create positive change and a much-needed unity for the future of mankind. At that time, I was unclear what Coeō would become, and I certainly did not envisage that by the end of 2016 we would have over 31,000 change makers.
2016 was an unpredictable year. The UK EU Referendum results and the US elections confounded many, including professional pollsters. Numerous articles and explanations have been offered about why these results were predicted wrongly. What about those whose predictions were consistently right?
Through my work as a Website Developer, I came across a firm which specialises in analysing human behaviour. Their Managing Director explained to me how they had used their behaviour analysis to accurately predict a number of key events, including the results of the UK EU Referendum, and the consequent resignation of David Cameron, and in 2008, that Gordon Brown would not win the 2010 General Election. I was cynical about his remarks as it is easy to make such statements after an event. At the same time he then went on to predict a clear victory for Donald J Trump in the November 2016 US elections with the Democrats losing heavily in the electoral colleges. In view of the polls at the time, I was again sceptical about how his firm could make this prediction.
After the US election, like many others, I was stunned to hear the results of such a major defeat for the Democrats. I went back to the prediction I had discounted to try and understand how a firm specialising in human behaviour analysis was able to make what seemed accurate counter-intuitive predictions. In time for the inauguration of President Elect Donald Trump as 45th President of the United States of America, at my request, they have written a summary article for the Coeō website explaining why Donald Trump won, why the Democrats lost, and how this result was predictable. I hope that this will be the first of several articles.
Perhaps I should add that their predictions do not reflect their political opinions or preferences: the predictions are based on analysis of behaviours.
We all have much to offer our society. The 31,000 change makers in the Coeō Community each have something to offer. As I read what the Coeō members are trying to achieve I feel humbled. It has also become clear that if our community understood more about human behaviours, we would meet our goals at a faster rate.
2017 will be an exciting year for Coeō with many new features and collaborations already planned. In order to ensure all members are kept up to date with developments and to maximise the effectiveness of all our projects, I am committed to the following tasks:
1. A monthly newsletter for the Coeō Community - this being the first.
2. I am negotiating with the human behaviour specialists to allow our community to have access to their online behaviour questionnaire and explain how to use this knowledge to assist in achieving our individual and shared objectives. If this is something that interests you, please click here.
If you find the article interesting, let me know if there is a subject that is important to you that you would like the team at Hillcroft House to discuss, using their Behaviour Analysis model. While they regret that they cannot predict lottery results they can predict with a high probability how people will react to situations based upon their behaviour patterns. It is a dynamic process, and responsive to unfolding events, as well as behavioural patterns.
I would like to end my first 2017 newsletter with a quote from William James, the American Psychologist and Philosopher.
"The greatest revolution of our generation is the discovery that human beings, by changing the inner attitudes of their minds can change the outer aspects of their lives."
Mat Dowle
Coeō Creator and Developer
