Source (NaturalNews)
(
Natural News) Today I finished tweaking the first draft of a pandemic projection model that simulates the spread of the coronavirus in the United States. The assumptions of the model are explained here, and you will find they are extremely conservative (using R0 value of just 1.82, for example).
The model’s predictions are nothing short of apocalyptic if the virus is allowed to spread without restraint across the United States. According to the model, there will be 2.16 million dead Americans by July 4th if domestic travel is not aggressively halted very soon (see the full projections below). This is not a prediction, since I believe that state governments and the federal government will intervene long before July 4th to declare, essentially, medical martial law.
That is now the only remaining option to stop the spread. It must be done soon. It may already be too late to prevent millions from getting infected.
Before we get to the conclusions of the model, here are the assumptions. As you will quickly see, these are very conservative assumptions (READ MORE)
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